Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.070351 0.082546 0.096169 0.112510 0.131574 0.153111 0.179287
2025-12-28 0.053790 0.069382 0.088456 0.113483 0.145444 0.184887 0.237269
2026-01-04 0.042993 0.060322 0.083296 0.115932 0.161067 0.221269 0.307688
2026-01-11 0.034811 0.052731 0.078292 0.117316 0.175323 0.258316 0.386099
2026-01-18 0.028231 0.045887 0.072819 0.116746 0.186493 0.292874 0.467460
2026-01-25 0.022479 0.039010 0.065844 0.112372 0.190890 0.317917 0.538993
2026-02-01 0.017945 0.033101 0.059174 0.107026 0.192475 0.338467 0.606729
2026-02-08 0.014907 0.029108 0.054889 0.104776 0.198654 0.367353 0.693297
2026-02-15 0.012405 0.025557 0.050678 0.101764 0.202744 0.392995 0.778254
2026-02-22 0.010835 0.023473 0.048784 0.102703 0.214287 0.433977 0.898712
2026-03-01 0.009370 0.021296 0.046285 0.101923 0.222190 0.469071 1.013384
2026-03-08 0.007912 0.018831 0.042727 0.098236 0.223344 0.490636 1.103743
2026-03-15 0.006836 0.017073 0.040519 0.097451 0.231475 0.529980 1.243448
2026-03-22 0.006182 0.016175 0.040085 0.100672 0.249393 0.594113 1.451179
2026-03-29 0.005638 0.015435 0.039888 0.104459 0.269498 0.667052 1.693768
2026-04-05 0.005084 0.014543 0.039149 0.106783 0.286574 0.736139 1.940749
2026-04-12 0.004505 0.013454 0.037689 0.106966 0.298305 0.794445 2.172334
2026-04-19 0.003859 0.012025 0.035035 0.103396 0.299443 0.826250 2.341631
2026-04-26 0.003275 0.010638 0.032207 0.098746 0.296700 0.847441 2.486792
2026-05-03 0.002867 0.009694 0.030452 0.096844 0.301430 0.889864 2.699647
2026-05-10 0.002495 0.008773 0.028570 0.094168 0.303361 0.924870 2.898261
2026-05-17 0.002267 0.008275 0.027892 0.095112 0.316592 0.995176 3.215944
2026-05-24 0.002029 0.007681 0.026781 0.094436 0.324616 1.051509 3.502035